I FEAR EUROPEAN UNION MORE THAN TRUMP
I don’t fear Trump Policies I fear Europe
breaking up.Next year Europe will be doldrums and
many states will exit the EU. Thanks to the existing ruling politicians who
approved the policy of refugees being given shelter to the syrian refugees. They created the birth of social imbalances within
the society and after with repeated Blasts in many member states its well clear
that Anti Muslim climate
will be utilized for the
upcoming elections. We witnessed Brexit and over the next decade many exits
will be prominent. In 2017
we will witness many elections and many referendum.
In March, the Netherlands will hold parliamentary elections in which the
anti-Islam Freedom Party is set for a tight race against the incumbent
center-right government.
Later, France’s National Front
also has a chance at victory in the presidential election. In Germany,
which will have a federal election early in the second half of 2017, the
Alternative for Germany (AfD), a new anti-immigration and anti-Islam party, is
likely to win its seats in the national parliament. Netherlands, the Freedom
are going to be big impact creator for the upcoming elections.
The leading hard-right parties
in Germany, France, Austria and the Netherlands are explicitly anti-Islam.
Immigration policies are bound to affect global economy as terrorism and refugees have created havoc problem
which is impossible for any states and any politicians to
measure. Trump anti-Muslim and immigration based winning streak has
created a huge confidence among the
EU and other Global politicians to fight and win in the coming elections.
The problem of refugees has
created massive problem for the GDP growth of the EU member states. In
Turkey the scale is staggering. 2.75 million Syrians are registered in
Turkey, around 3.5 per cent of the population. They are now going to
depot each day around 3000 refugees to EU. There is no end of the war which was
expected and now the sudden spike in refugees increases the social cost too for
the struggling austerity based
economies.
A quick number glance over
the growth of refugees will clear the doubts. In 2015, over 1.3 million
people requested asylum in EU, representing more than double the number
of applicants in 2014. During the first quarter of 2016, the number of persons
seeking asylum from non-EU countries in the EU reached 287.100. Since 2012,
donor governments and aid organisations have spent around $15 billion on
looking after ever increasing numbers of Syrian refugees. About 10 per
cent of that has been contributed by the UK. Overall, Britain is by far the
biggest European donor to Syrian refugees in the Middle East. I hope now you
got more clarity why Brexit is good for them. Europe costs at least ten times
as much as in countries neighboring Syria.
Whereas a budget of $3,000 per refugee in Jordan would provide not just basic
food and water but also education and opportunity, this will cost over $30,000
per refugee in Germany or Austria. Individual
nations have also compelled divert funds outside of their aid
programs to assuage the cost of hosting refugees,
Social imbalances ,I
have covered this many times and now again I repeat that EU as an whole is
getting into deeper problems.
Prostitution is creating new historic highs and with girls and boys are being
trafficked into the sex trade. In camps
and shelters across the region, increasing numbers of girls are being forced
into early marriages – some as young as 12 years old.
Immigration and unemployment have
been recognized as a strong relation and very soon over the next decade many
countries will become stringent in terms of immigration. They might lack
skilled manpower but over the next decade they will fill in the gaps.
Developing economies will face hurdles of immigration and its high time
to think about the same from now. Currency war will open up and saving the euro
will be big challenge.
Budgets
of the EU are swelling and they are in deep problem. This is the reason why I
am fearful of EU rather than Trump.